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Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1

at Dragonlord Games Würzburg - Store Champs

decks
2 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0% avg ELO +5.8 per match
expected value
55.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1351 · median 1351 · range 1318–1385 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1108 Q1 1291 Q3 1394 1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 12.5% 0
Fire Crux Mage 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.6% +16.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.6% +7.3
Water Allies 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.4% -10.6
Water Genbu 12.5% 0
Wind Arcane 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.9% +9.5
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dilu, Auspicious Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Reconnaissance Scout -1.00 0 1 0
Perse, Relentless Raptor -1.00 0 1 0
Expose Darkness +1.00 1 0 0
Concealed Marksman +1.00 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Draught of Stamina -1.00 0 1 0
Coronation Ceremony -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Inert Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Steady Sharpshooter +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/37869/archetypes/Wind Wakeup Combo